Likely-Distortion
0xdf089ce75267ee5411f7ad235fd392c60fc7dea4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.5K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
75%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?
2875 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-698.15
- YES
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-02-21?
956 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-291.53
- THEMONGOLZ
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
875 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-108.51
- GRABHER
Antalya: Katarina Zavatska vs Julia Grabher
816 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-84.69
- NO
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?
783 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-166.13
- NO
Will Scotland win?
737 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-345.40
- ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. UCLA Bruins
700 shares @ 68.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-477.28
- NO
Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?
691 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-126.29
- NINJAS IN PYJAMAS
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
658 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-94.92
- FAZE VEGAS
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers
584 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-326.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$53.54Mar 4, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanthers vs. Devils$1.02Mar 4, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$0.48Mar 3, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffs$73.00Mar 3, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMHersonissos: Gabriele Piraino vs Ioannis Xilas$93.48Mar 3, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMHersonissos: Lorenzo Carboni vs Stefanos Sakellaridis$109.76Mar 3, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Metizport vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage$182.05Mar 3, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffs$260.35Mar 3, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Timofeeva$1.00Mar 3, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Timofeeva$0.25Mar 3, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Timofeeva$3.20Mar 3, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage$11.00Mar 3, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage$9.77Mar 3, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage$0.06Mar 3, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage$2.12Mar 3, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage$1.39Mar 3, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffs$0.84Mar 3, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$46.00Mar 3, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$38.59Mar 3, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$7.40Mar 3, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $24.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 13:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 60 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".