Inferior-Outlay
0xdf0afe4f791e76efec2bc8f2b35ddf5857759e28
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
2475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
2420 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?
2260 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.52
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 14?
2200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
2100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
2098 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.26
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?
1720 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 17?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 27?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$164.16Jun 12, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$164.01Jun 10, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?$5.52Jun 10, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$170.17Jun 9, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$170.01Jun 7, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?$5.30Jun 7, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$175.18Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$175.01Jun 2, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by May 31?$174.17Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.19May 31, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$174.00May 30, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$4.20May 30, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$178.18May 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$178.01May 27, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?$170.17May 24, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?$170.01May 23, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$177.18May 19, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$177.01May 16, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$177.18May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$177.00May 13, 11:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $96.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 02:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.