0xdf0e3bfdbfed0d0b6e62e7be3a3fc407c0b0f761
0xdf0e3bfdbfed0d0b6e62e7be3a3fc407c0b0f761
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
175
Open notional
$0.05
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$-87.18
Win rate
58%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 175- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.05
$-1.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
1877 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-62.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
700 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-144.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
530 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-142.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
505 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-193.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
414 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-149.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
380 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-172.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
360 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-102.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
350 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-102.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
349 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-67.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$2.00May 31, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$1.14May 30, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$1.23May 30, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$5.80May 30, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$4.60May 30, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.99May 30, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.96May 30, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.00May 30, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $200M one day after launch?$0.95May 30, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.03May 25, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.01May 25, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.00May 25, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.00May 25, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.04May 25, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$5.66May 25, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$1.05May 25, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$1.04May 25, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.04May 25, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.08May 25, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$2.04May 25, 01:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 16:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".