Original-Defender
0xdf12749ccfc6a7e3708cfae7002c540000a6bb4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.45
Total PnL
$-21.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.45
$0.45
- NO
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
1101 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-19.82
- YES
Will Kristi Noem win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Harry Kane score?
27 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-0.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$19.82Oct 16, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden drop out by Monday?$5.00Oct 13, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden drop out by Monday?$14.82Jul 21, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden drop out by Monday?$310.85Jul 20, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden drops out of presidential race?$7.50Jul 20, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$23.97Jul 16, 06:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.11Jul 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$0.08Jul 15, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$1.00Jul 15, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$0.88Jul 15, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$2.16Jul 15, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$10.40Jul 15, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocratic Blitz primary?$75.67Jul 15, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLDNC open convention?$48.49Jul 15, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barack Obama call on Biden to drop out?$133.67Jul 15, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocratic Blitz primary?$90.06Jul 15, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce VP pick on Thursday?$29.80Jul 15, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce VP pick on Thursday?$5.00Jul 15, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce VP pick on Thursday?$34.80Jul 15, 07:02 UTC
- REWARD$34.22Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $36.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 09:32 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 16, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.