Detailed-Surroundings
0xdf13ab09d37db81b2072ae4e81a59204a0a195e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.5K
Realised
$38.20
Win rate
65%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
818 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-421.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
500 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-164.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
500 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-196.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
500 shares @ 85.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-428.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
392 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-232.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
316 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-181.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
307 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-91.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
300 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-185.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$5.70Jul 22, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$5.15Jul 22, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$3.13Jul 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$3.25Jul 22, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$6.00Jul 22, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$2.20Jul 22, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$4.81Jul 22, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$7.00Jul 22, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.61Jul 22, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$3.17Jul 22, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$7.00Jul 22, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.81Jul 22, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$14.00Jul 22, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.60Jul 22, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.68Jul 22, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.82Jul 22, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.38Jul 22, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$0.54Jul 22, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$11.80Jul 22, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.32Jul 22, 18:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
65% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 22:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.