Last-Gateway
0xdf18a8ed3dc745eea5c05f28da8386b641a3386f
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-55.67
Win rate
22%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
735 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-102.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
147 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
102 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
82 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.34
- YES
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
80 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.49
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
55 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.89
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
51 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-19.83
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
40 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$16.88Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$10.20Jul 19, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$30.88Jul 19, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$2.54Jul 12, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$20.39Jul 12, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$0.84Jul 12, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.23Jul 12, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$17.85Jul 12, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$3.03Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$24.34Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$5.55Jul 11, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$4.92Jul 11, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$6.53Jul 11, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$13.41Jul 11, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$5.62Jul 11, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$2.42Jul 11, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$30.40Jul 11, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$12.73Jul 11, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$6.61Jul 11, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.19Jul 11, 15:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $12.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 01:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.