Frank-Almighty
0xdf1f7f68d8ab19e6e4d9f344d8b3eed15c75348f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-468.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Kamala Harris 538 odds >60% Friday?
3835 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2024$0.00
$-7.67
- YES
Will another candidate win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
2579 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2024$0.00
$-4.12
- YES
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Oct 11?
972 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2024$0.00
$-2.91
- YES
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
831 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-26.70
- ORIOLES
Rays vs. Orioles
655 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-347.15
- YES
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 24-31?
500 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
- WALZ
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
300 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will another candidate win the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
11 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$1.20Oct 10, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRays vs. Orioles$238.50Sep 24, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRays vs. Orioles$108.65Sep 24, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$3.30Feb 2, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$23.40Feb 2, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 24-31?$6.12Jan 30, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 24-31?$9.67Jan 30, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 24-31?$0.58Jan 30, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 24-31?$12.63Jan 30, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?$0.26Jan 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?$1.02Jan 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?$1.50Jan 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?$1.20Jan 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?$0.28Jan 19, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?$1.20Jan 19, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?$0.60Jan 19, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?$0.60Jan 19, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?$0.35Jan 19, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?$2.16Jan 19, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?$2.40Jan 19, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $31.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 16:07 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 09:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.