Sorrowful-Pretzel
0xdf2646228edaab74987a0b5795fa2a592a719084
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$301.75
Total PnL
$-400.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?
276 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$274.75
$7.37
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
200 shares @ 26.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
2000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-62.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
500 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
GPT ads by January 31?
334 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- NO
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-93.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3PM ET
200 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3PM ET
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$20.57Mar 1, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$10.00Mar 1, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$100.00Feb 28, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$77.00Feb 28, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$200.00Feb 28, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?$64.22Feb 11, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?$203.16Feb 9, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$200.00Feb 4, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$2.0KFeb 1, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$90.00Feb 1, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: January$94.33Jan 31, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$199.20Jan 30, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$7.68Jan 29, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$24.32Jan 29, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$112.00Jan 29, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$88.00Jan 29, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$28.35Jan 29, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT ads by January 31?$15.68Jan 22, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT ads by January 31?$6.67Jan 22, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $27.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 02:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 01:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".