0xdf2b9f287caa1dd921f560cde4413048fb9aa9ca
0xdf2b9f287caa1dd921f560cde4413048fb9aa9ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$28.72
Total PnL
$-7.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
6 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.34
$0.34
- NO
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
5 shares @ 88.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 20, 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- NO
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.25
$0.25
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
2 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 18, 2026?
2 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Rod Strozier win The Bachelorette Season 22?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.00Mar 22, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$2.00Mar 22, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$2.00Mar 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by April 30?$2.00Mar 20, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMGreg Bovino fired/resigns by March 31?$2.82Mar 20, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 20, 2026?$2.00Mar 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rod Strozier win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.00Mar 19, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$2.00Mar 19, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 19, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?$2.00Mar 18, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.00Mar 18, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$2.00Mar 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?$2.00Mar 18, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 18, 2026?$2.00Mar 18, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?$2.00Mar 18, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?$2.00Mar 17, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?$2.00Mar 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in March 2026?$2.00Mar 17, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreg Bovino fired/resigns by March 31?$2.00Mar 16, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China in 2026?$2.00Mar 16, 12:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $8.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.