Occasional-Silly
0xdf38322db715a13f7f23f8bf26e1a8a6eb8a3f0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$30.47
Total PnL
$0.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?
11 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$11.12
$0.12
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?
6 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$6.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?
5 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$5.18
$0.18
- NO
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
3 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$3.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before August?$6.00Jul 23, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?$5.00Jul 23, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?$11.00Jul 23, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$3.00Jul 23, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$4.11Jul 23, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$6.02Jul 23, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Villarreal CF win La Liga?$7.44Jul 23, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$4.00Apr 1, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$6.00Apr 1, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$6.27Apr 1, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$5.00Feb 25, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMAleo airdrop in 2024?$5.00Feb 25, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dragan Primorac be the next President of Croatia?$1.02Feb 25, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMRachel Lord announced as next BlackRock CEO?$5.00Feb 25, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dragan Primorac be the next President of Croatia?$1.00Dec 31, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAleo airdrop in 2024?$5.00Dec 31, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?$1.00Dec 31, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?$1.02Dec 31, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?$0.69Dec 31, 07:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 10:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".