Dear-Metallurgist
0xdf39e89628e5d1a8db6022095980356e05b0341f
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-130.80
Realised
$-1.07
Win rate
1%
75 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
1700 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
579 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
80 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
32 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
16 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?$9.78Jul 6, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?$10.10Jul 6, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$2.17Jun 2, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ET$8.91Jun 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ET$4.20Jun 2, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.06Jun 2, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.04Jun 2, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.03Jun 2, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.05Jun 2, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.72Jun 2, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.03Jun 2, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.05Jun 2, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$2.53Jun 2, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$1.03Jun 2, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.03Jun 2, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$2.03Jun 2, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.00May 30, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$2.70May 30, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.04May 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.05May 30, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 75 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
75 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 05:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 22:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 75 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.