Well-Off-Snake
0xdf3aca2d24569a93f65622a8e231e208c9a36c4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
88
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-331.22
Realised
$-0.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?
5600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 59°F or higher on November 28?
676 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on November 26?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 29?
253 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 61°F or higher on October 31?
210 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 23?
207 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.59May 18, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.03May 18, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?$10.24May 16, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in May?$1.04May 16, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?$1.04May 16, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?$1.04May 16, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?$2.06May 16, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?$3.38May 12, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?$1.04May 12, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in May?$2.08May 12, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?$16.02May 12, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?$7.20May 3, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?$7.20May 3, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$1.92May 3, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.04May 3, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.24May 3, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.06May 3, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.06May 3, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$0.00May 3, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$1.06May 3, 03:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 09:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.