Violet-Abacus
0xdf402dcca43c797e6110a45f72f140fbf1bb4644
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$1.65
Total PnL
$-331.18
Realised
$16.00
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
30 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.65
$-1.65
- YES
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?
6146 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-44.11
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
4585 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.20
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?
1800 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?
1650 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.84
- YES
Will Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
1504 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-13.34
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- PENGUINS
Penguins vs. Devils
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Malta win on 2025-11-17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado not shake hands?$0.53Jan 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado not shake hands?$0.05Jan 16, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado not shake hands?$0.41Jan 16, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado not shake hands?$1.05Jan 16, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado handshake last 2–6 seconds?$0.88Jan 16, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado handshake last 2–6 seconds?$0.44Jan 16, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado handshake last 6–10 seconds?$1.40Jan 16, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado not shake hands?$2.40Jan 16, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?$1.35Jan 14, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 28?$0.00Jan 14, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$3.44Jan 12, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$0.16Jan 11, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$0.06Jan 10, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$3.30Jan 10, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?$1.30Jan 9, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$0.03Jan 9, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$0.06Jan 9, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$0.22Jan 9, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$0.60Jan 9, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$0.30Jan 6, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 15:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 15:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.