Well-Lit-Responsibility
0xdf414230a9beb0997442a07150bcdc5c3cd2b2fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$6.50
Total PnL
$-174.33
Realised
$0.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
7 shares @ 61.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$6.50
$2.50
- YES
Will "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
238 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-18.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
116 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
- NO
Will Trump say "Job" 5+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?
55 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
52 shares @ 89.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-46.60
- YES
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?
37 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- NO
Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (March 8)
28 shares @ 71.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Hillary's remarks not air?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "ICE" or "Border Patrol" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
19 shares @ 51.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Hillary say "Trump" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.05Jun 1, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.05Jun 1, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$4.58Mar 10, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$5.60Mar 10, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$2.67Mar 10, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$2.00Mar 10, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$5.00Mar 10, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$2.45Mar 10, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$2.04Mar 5, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pelé" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?$0.22Mar 5, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pelé" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?$0.69Mar 5, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pelé" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?$4.18Mar 5, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Picture" or "Photo" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?$2.00Mar 5, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 5+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?$10.00Mar 5, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 5+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?$10.00Mar 5, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?$1.00Mar 5, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?$37.84Mar 5, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?$12.56Mar 5, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 22:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.