Likely-Tinderbox-Elm
0xdf482e3d5d2150a4bf3f587d545e23c2a07d136d
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$8.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
202 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$201.92
$1.92
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
201 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$201.11
$1.11
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
201 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$200.90
$0.90
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
201 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$200.70
$0.70
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
200 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$200.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
200 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$200.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
200 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$199.96
$1.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
200 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$199.92
$0.30
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
200 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$199.92
$0.30
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
101 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$101.16
$1.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$9.992h ago
- MAKER_REBATE$17.372h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$2.0K7h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$100.027h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$2.0K12h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$66.8316h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$13.4316h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$139.7916h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$31.9617h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$78.3317h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$67.6917h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$37.7317h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$141.5117h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$199.5017h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$5.0017h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$496.8517h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$15.2817h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.4817h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.0018h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$67.8518h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $188.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 20h ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
