Wallet digest

active

Activity score

82/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$16.12

Total PnL

$-43.80

Realised

$4.79

Win rate

100%

10 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 29

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026
$5.60
$0.62
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026
$5.37
$0.38
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026
$2.06
$0.06
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026
$2.04
$0.04
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026
$1.04
$0.04
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-1.98
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026
$0.00
$-4.97
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
6 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-1.98

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.00Jan 16, 15:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.17Jan 16, 15:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.00Jan 16, 15:38 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.21Jan 16, 15:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.00Jan 16, 15:33 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.30Jan 16, 15:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.00Jan 16, 15:33 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.05Jan 16, 15:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.00Jan 16, 15:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.00Jan 16, 15:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$2.00Jan 16, 15:03 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.10Jan 16, 14:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.00Jan 16, 14:51 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.12Jan 16, 14:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.00Jan 16, 14:50 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.14Jan 16, 14:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.00Jan 16, 14:48 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.13Jan 16, 14:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.00Jan 16, 14:48 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.05Jan 16, 14:47 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence33 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry41 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk42 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $1.89
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 16, 13:21 UTC
Last active: Jan 16, 15:40 UTC
Win rate sample: 10 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:10:27 UTC·src:Polymarket Data