Submissive-Horde
0xdf6f85ff51133209764fe15147d41f8cb808f6ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1500 shares @ 72.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$292.50
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
32102 shares @ 1.7¢·now 3.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$515.94
- YES
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
122379 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$673.09
$-795.47
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
17588 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-949.66
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
11943 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.8K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.15Jul 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $130.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.