Shoddy-Packet
0xdf86039a68516fd176e851b96e8aa81830311916
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.63
Total PnL
$-236.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
67 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.63
$-3.37
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?
645 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?
417 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
345 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-15.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
216 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
212 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-98.30
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia"?
168 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$4.15May 2, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?$1.00Mar 20, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?$1.00Mar 20, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$3.00Mar 20, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.17Mar 20, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.00Mar 20, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.00Mar 20, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$0.00Mar 20, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.00Mar 20, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.00Mar 20, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.05Mar 20, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.00Mar 20, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.09Mar 20, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.00Mar 20, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$0.00Mar 1, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 08:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 20:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 02:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.