Honest-Casualty
0xdf89550d3fdbdbaf9bbaf04b72e0edc5e9d6700d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-333.50
Realised
$0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?
6221 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?
5490 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-19.99
- NO
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?
3545 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-52.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET
196 shares @ 83.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-164.64
- YES
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2025-10-03?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
40 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will CA Tigre win on 2025-10-03?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Osasuna vs. Getafe end in a draw?
32 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-27.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
30 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.21Oct 19, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.21Oct 19, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.14Oct 19, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Oct 19, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.14Oct 19, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Oct 19, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Oct 19, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$52.42Oct 18, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$52.42Oct 18, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$50.70Oct 18, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$50.00Oct 18, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$32.50Oct 18, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Oct 18, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$20.00Oct 18, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$9.83Oct 18, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$2.80Oct 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.40Oct 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.77Oct 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.88Oct 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.35Oct 18, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $38.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 05:57 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 19, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".