Authorized-Dulcimer
0xdf89c99cdbadca8916660a90da074806fe0ba739
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
171
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.9K
Realised
$29.28
Win rate
45%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 171- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
12985 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-125.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
12985 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.2K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
12981 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-861.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
11089 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-84.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
11089 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
11089 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-262.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
9563 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-288.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
9433 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
8565 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
8565 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-74.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?$108.00Feb 12, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?$116.00Feb 12, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$201.00Feb 12, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$204.00Feb 8, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Feb 8, 00:32 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$11.9KFeb 7, 11:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Feb 7, 00:20 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.9KFeb 6, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$7.5KFeb 6, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$0.36Feb 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$1.03Feb 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$0.02Feb 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$0.02Feb 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$0.15Feb 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$0.02Feb 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$8.36Feb 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$0.23Feb 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$5.85Feb 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$2.66Feb 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8.5m?$0.96Feb 6, 08:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 08:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 02:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".