Abandoned-Epee
0xdf8aacaa966a4f81c4f004cdf4d36c710417d02c
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-386.61
Realised
$-55.11
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
238 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 22?
214 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.43
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 2?
212 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.61
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20?
195 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.43
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?
193 shares @ 98.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-190.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 30?
133 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 24?
97 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-26.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
96 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE DELTA DEVILS
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars
95 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.11
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 20?
87 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 10?$1.71Aug 9, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 11?$81.89Jul 11, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 11?$0.45Jul 11, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 11?$80.29Jul 11, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 2?$3.86Jul 1, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 31?$65.98Jun 1, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 31?$64.66May 30, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 23?$66.13May 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 23?$64.68May 22, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20?$6.87May 20, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 30?$27.01May 10, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 13?$65.19Apr 30, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on April 14?$2.86Apr 14, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 13?$62.84Apr 12, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$66.88Apr 12, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 28?$0.00Apr 1, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 20?$0.00Mar 31, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 30?$0.14Mar 29, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 30?$24.55Mar 29, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$64.73Mar 28, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $51.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 21:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.