0xdf8af3926f4af5a8eafac82c6d5b2625a0f8c58d
0xdf8af3926f4af5a8eafac82c6d5b2625a0f8c58d
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$121.54
Total PnL
$0.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$121.30Apr 25, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$41.52Apr 19, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$79.78Apr 19, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$61.80Apr 10, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$58.63Apr 10, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?$11.00Apr 10, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$12.00Apr 10, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$12.00Apr 10, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $110 in March?$13.01Apr 10, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$13.71Apr 10, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$14.00Apr 10, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$14.00Apr 10, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $60 in March?$15.02Apr 10, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$15.70Apr 10, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$15.68Mar 31, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$13.70Mar 31, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 in March?$15.00Mar 31, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $110 in March?$13.00Mar 31, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$13.97Mar 30, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?$10.96Mar 30, 00:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $45.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 05:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 07:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.