Arid-Debate
0xdf91ca89e6d06d717552d06aac622e25c62fa4c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.30 February 23-March 1?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
1012 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
667 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 1?
593 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.03Mar 2, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$0.07Mar 2, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.97Mar 2, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$1.00Mar 1, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1?$1.00Mar 1, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$1.00Mar 1, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.00Mar 1, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 1?$6.00Mar 1, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Mar 1, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.30 February 23-March 1?$10.00Mar 1, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$6.00Feb 28, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$14.74Feb 28, 23:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 23:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 16:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".