Wide-Creativity
0xdf933b45bf02e6f10002da22ea32a7cff08fbdc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$7.1K
Total PnL
$-701.97
Realised
$109.32
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
2245 shares @ 82.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.2K
$393.74
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
1039 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.0K
$88.58
- NO
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
641 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$640.68
$140.67
- NO
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
626 shares @ 69.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$591.13
$154.55
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
573 shares @ 91.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$572.89
$50.23
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
313 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$313.34
$162.86
- YES
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
308 shares @ 89.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$307.76
$32.22
- YES
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
179 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$179.00
$48.33
- NO
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
157 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$157.41
$83.36
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$149.25
$49.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.