Natural-Elixir
0xdf950f9fbd2d553d8372a94309162652972c8cd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$10.78
Total PnL
$-3.71
Realised
$-0.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.38
$0.01
- NO
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.38
$0.00
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$369.26Dec 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?$2.00Dec 16, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$376.00Dec 16, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$377.24Dec 16, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$380.00Dec 16, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$1.01Dec 16, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% in 2025?$1.00Jun 8, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jun 8, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$1.00Jun 8, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?$0.98Jun 8, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on April 30?$0.00Jun 8, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Democratic Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?$1.00Jun 8, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atalanta win the Serie A?$1.00Jun 8, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$2.04Jun 8, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Democratic Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?$1.00Apr 8, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta win the Serie A?$1.00Apr 8, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?$1.00Apr 8, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on April 30?$1.00Apr 8, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEM50 or more bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$1.00Apr 8, 01:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $48.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 05:07 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.