Previous-Guestbook
0xdfa049e6b30200580a037afad783e152e9d4687c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$4.84
Total PnL
$-106.59
Realised
$-14.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
31 shares @ 22.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$3.61
$-3.30
- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
154 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on January 8?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on January 9?
531 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
516 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?
431 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will "Safaera" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Player 152 win Beast Games: Season 2?
242 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will "DÁKITI" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on January 9?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$3.07May 18, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$4.00May 18, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Feb 25, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Feb 25, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 152 win Beast Games: Season 2?$1.00Feb 18, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 152 win Beast Games: Season 2?$2.00Feb 18, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$5.00Feb 18, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$11.00Feb 9, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$4.00Feb 9, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$3.00Feb 9, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$2.00Feb 9, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "DÁKITI" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$2.00Feb 9, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Safaera" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$1.00Feb 9, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$10.00Feb 9, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$9.48Feb 9, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$10.00Feb 8, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$10.00Feb 8, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$14.00Feb 8, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$56.88Feb 8, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$58.00Jan 12, 19:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 23:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".