Pale-Put
0xdfa42f1f918ad7c244995ee88e42ff0bb7967a5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$1.38
Total PnL
$-87.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?
209 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
137 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.07
$-4.93
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.03
$-0.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1417 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?$1.00Mar 12, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$1.00Mar 12, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$1.00Mar 12, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? $1.00Mar 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The MongolZ win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? $1.00Mar 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? $1.00Mar 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FaZe win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? $1.00Mar 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 60 million views on day 3?$1.00Mar 9, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 60 million or more views on day 3?$1.00Mar 9, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 46 million views on day 3?$1.00Mar 9, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 49 million views on day 3?$1.00Mar 9, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?$1.00Mar 9, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$1.00Mar 9, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$5.00Mar 9, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 9, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 9, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 9, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$6.00Mar 9, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$1.00Mar 9, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$62.50Mar 4, 02:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 15:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".