Ugly-Grief
0xdfbdcbb48a952a38c1a939bd763ba8cdb7d54ab0
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$30.39
Total PnL
$-456.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?
390 shares @ 7.7¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.39
$0.39
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?
2954 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by March 13?
2250 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
2068 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.34
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
1258 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?
1176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?
900 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
818 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
764 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?
564 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?$30.00Jun 7, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?$20.00Apr 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$10.00Apr 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$10.00Apr 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?$20.00Apr 20, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 19, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$20.00Apr 12, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov$5.00Apr 11, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?$20.00Apr 11, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$10.00Apr 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$20.00Apr 6, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$10.00Mar 18, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$2.00Mar 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$20.00Mar 10, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$45.00Mar 10, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$10.34Oct 29, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?$40.00Aug 16, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5400 in August?$40.00Aug 8, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?$40.00Aug 8, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?$20.00Jul 12, 13:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $44.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 23:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 20:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.