Surprised-Birdwatcher
0xdfc0c352942149febe452961ec8c7bfc2e9503c2
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.90
Total PnL
$-5.69
Realised
$0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders say "Amazon" or "Jeff" or "Bezos" in Michigan?
10 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.75
$0.15
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders say "Healthcare" in Michigan?
5 shares @ 6.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.48
$0.16
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Michigan?
5 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.42
$0.02
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders say "Billion" or "Billionaire" 5+ times in Michigan?
2 shares @ 5.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.24
$0.13
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?
70 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 1?
10 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 1?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?
5 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 1?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Michigan?$0.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Amazon" or "Jeff" or "Bezos" in Michigan?$0.522h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Healthcare" in Michigan?$0.323h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Billion" or "Billionaire" 5+ times in Michigan?$0.123h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Amazon" or "Jeff" or "Bezos" in Michigan?$0.083h ago
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?$4.905h ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?$4.225h ago
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$5.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$3.505h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$1.255h ago
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?$5.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?$2.816h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?$1.756h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?$2.596h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?$1.596h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?$2.256h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?$3.156h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.0011h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.1511h ago
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.0011h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".