Serene-Onset
0xdfd64b1ed0b0a319d8a816e1c659af59046ff90f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$196.15
Total PnL
$66.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
100 shares @ 1.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$100.00
$98.40
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $630b on February 28?
55 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$55.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
41 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$41.04
$0.04
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
38 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $630b on February 28?$55.00Feb 27, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.60Feb 27, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$41.00Feb 27, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$50.10Feb 27, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$54.05Feb 27, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$50.00Jan 28, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$54.00Jan 28, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?$45.05Jan 28, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?$59.06Jan 28, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?$45.00Nov 30, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?$59.00Nov 30, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on October 30?$52.05Nov 30, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$52.05Nov 30, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$52.00Oct 30, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on October 30?$52.00Oct 30, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMBull run: September$37.11Oct 30, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by September 30?$37.15Oct 30, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBull run: September$37.00Sep 24, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by September 30?$37.00Sep 24, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be less than $340b on August 31?$26.03Sep 24, 14:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $40.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 09:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 16:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.