Constant-Skirt
0xdfdaa6cf37708a5a7b0eaabf1fca969b7a7f0f61
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?$0.90Jul 7, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $2.60 in June?$7.95Jun 5, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.60 in June?$7.96Jun 5, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$5.78May 9, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$5.79May 9, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?$0.00Apr 27, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + JA21?$0.00Apr 27, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 27?$4.98Apr 27, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 27?$5.00Apr 27, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + JA21?$0.13Feb 15, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$0.00Jan 19, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 12, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be above $170 on December 25?$0.63Dec 25, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be above $170 on December 25?$0.37Dec 25, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $170 on December 25?$1.00Dec 25, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?$1.00Dec 17, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?$1.00Dec 17, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 04:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 17:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.