Virtuous-Plaster-Licensing
0xdfddd5c3b996c4176d72c3ca7859f10a7c825585
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
157
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.6K
Realised
$152.62
Win rate
56%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 157- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 25?
16052 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-147.51
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 20?
11677 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 20?
7407 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-331.83
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23?
6247 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-147.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?
6063 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-70.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 19?
4769 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-476.87
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21?
3906 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-324.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 9?
3606 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-234.18
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10?
2582 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-81.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?
2449 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-192.95
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$3.27Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$2.13Jul 21, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$0.37Jul 21, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$0.10Jul 21, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$43.24Jul 21, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$44.60Jul 21, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2AM ET$28.50Jul 21, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$28.57Jul 21, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11PM ET$34.64Jul 21, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21?$70.82Jul 21, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$90.51Jul 21, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10PM ET$89.08Jul 21, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10PM ET$1.00Jul 21, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10PM ET$26.46Jul 21, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10PM ET$26.47Jul 21, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$92.43Jul 21, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$66.16Jul 21, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$60.78Jul 21, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$166.71Jul 21, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$179.73Jul 21, 00:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $36.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 23:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.