Negligible-Factory
0xdfde2c0d70187beda07adeceb893028770a495dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$11.93
Total PnL
$-120.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.23
$-2.77
- NO
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.21
$0.20
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by January 31?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?
138 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 31?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?
51 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".