0xdfe347c8f862d26739b67175ebad55ab32af3e6f
0xdfe347c8f862d26739b67175ebad55ab32af3e6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$167.44
Total PnL
$164.20
Realised
$-0.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by July 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 0.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.67
$12.67
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
15 shares @ 0.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.45
$12.45
- YES
Will Lamb Weston (LW) beat quarterly earnings?
15 shares @ 0.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$11.03
$11.03
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$9.05
$9.05
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$7.40
$7.40
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 0.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.28
$7.28
- NO
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.75
$6.75
- YES
Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$6.40
$6.40
- NO
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.20
$6.20
- YES
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 0.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.15
$6.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$8.50Jul 14, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$3.05Jul 14, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$0.00Jul 14, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$7.95Jul 14, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$11.85Jul 14, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?$0.00Jul 14, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamb Weston (LW) beat quarterly earnings?$10.95Jul 14, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamb Weston (LW) beat quarterly earnings?$4.65Jul 14, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$1.00Jul 14, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$8.40Jul 14, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$7.05Jul 14, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 70 by July 31?$12.90Jul 14, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$8.55Jul 14, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$0.51Jul 14, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$2.10Jul 14, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$6.02Jul 14, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$6.24Jul 14, 18:32 UTC
- MERGEWill the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by July 31, 2026?$15.00Jul 14, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$8.25Jul 14, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$4.80Jul 14, 18:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 12:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.