Bustling-Effector
0xdfead444c15ec6c4074adcb96460d34475730560
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by February 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
305 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
293 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 15 seconds or longer by February 13, 2026?
287 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by February 13, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by February 13, 2026?
141 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$1.00Feb 17, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$1.00Feb 17, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 15 seconds or longer by February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democratic Party win fewer than 250 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?$0.00Feb 9, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?$1.00Feb 9, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$1.00Feb 9, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$1.00Feb 9, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party win fewer than 250 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?$1.00Feb 9, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$5.00Feb 9, 01:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 01:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".