Shocked-Homogenate-Bough
0xdff0b1bb5be2948c0c1a09ea382fd17540a92665
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-152.95
Realised
$-5.95
Win rate
0%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?
316 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
120 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?
95 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?
47 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
35 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
32 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
31 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.59Aug 23, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$5.21Aug 23, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.04Aug 23, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.03Aug 23, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.07Aug 23, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.75Aug 23, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.03Aug 23, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$1.07Aug 23, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.06Aug 23, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.04Aug 23, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$5.24Jul 12, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?$26.15Jul 11, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$5.19Jul 10, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$5.21Jul 10, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$5.24Jul 10, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$16.33Jul 9, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$2.63Jul 9, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.04Jul 9, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.06Jul 9, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.04Jul 9, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 49 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
49 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 12:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.