Dazzling-Fundraising
0xdff378a1dea612de7addc57ee0c9c761d94d33cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-289.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
534 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-129.10
- NO
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?
391 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
259 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $129.10Oct 10, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?$100.00Oct 10, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?$60.00Oct 10, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?$89.08Oct 10, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?$100.00Aug 18, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$269.94Aug 18, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$124.54Jul 28, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$27.46Jul 28, 21:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $112.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 21:29 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.