Primary-Contest
0xdff839e5c0bc72517d7d1debb9a975366aaefaa3
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$5.10
Total PnL
$-13.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- YES
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.00
$0.01
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
1002 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-501.10
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1001 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-500.58
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 26, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 21, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?$1.00Jan 15, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?$1.03Jan 15, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?$1.05Jan 15, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$1.01Jan 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMZohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Solana reserve in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.02Jan 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.04Jan 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$1.04Jan 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$1.05Jan 7, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 06:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".