0xdff93b80dce6ecb124fc20836d68cbbf9f27c62f
0xdff93b80dce6ecb124fc20836d68cbbf9f27c62f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
116
Open notional
$9.57
Total PnL
$-17.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 48.4¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$4.84
$4.75
- NO
Will Taylor Ward lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?
2 shares @ 1.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$1.97
$1.95
- NO
Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores?
2 shares @ 1.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 12, 2026$1.49
$1.47
- NO
Will Shea Langeliers have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
1 shares @ 1.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$1.01
$1.00
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$0.25
$0.15
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 10?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 10?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 10?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 10?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 10?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Wyndham Clark finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?$0.29Jun 27, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stade Brestois 29 vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?$2.50Jun 27, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?$0.99Jun 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?$0.01Jun 17, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 15, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 15, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 15, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 15, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 15, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 15, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 15, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 15, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 15, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 15, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 15, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 15, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12?$0.00Jun 15, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 15, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 15, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$0.00Jun 15, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $0.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 18:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.