Known-Philosopher
0xdffaf2f115a12bea44a5a60dc7163a881d32df1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.05
Realised
$0.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- TEAM NEMESIS
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
244 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 10?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 10?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
48 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 10?
46 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- TEAM NEMESIS
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis (BO3)
45 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 10?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?
30 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?$4.75Feb 10, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?$4.69Feb 10, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 11?$3.20Dec 11, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)$3.26Dec 11, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$2.60Dec 10, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill three people dissent the December Fed decision?$2.08Dec 10, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill one person dissent the December Fed decision?$1.00Dec 10, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill two people dissent the December Fed decision?$1.00Dec 10, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?$1.00Dec 10, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill three people dissent the December Fed decision?$1.00Dec 10, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 10?$3.46Dec 10, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis (BO3)$1.00Dec 10, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis (BO3)$1.00Dec 10, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner$1.00Dec 10, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)$2.40Dec 10, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer say "Christmas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$7.99Dec 10, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$0.00Dec 10, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$0.00Dec 10, 12:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 08:15 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".