Instructive-Mandolin
0xe0041ad71c01e1cb07d4df591a341ce6dd4f6ce4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.26
Realised
$-0.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 11AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9?
136 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- NO
Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
64 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have exactly 7 launches in February?
57 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?
23 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
16 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?$1.00Feb 20, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$0.00Feb 20, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$1.93Feb 20, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$0.12Feb 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - February 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$0.80Feb 20, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLICE forced to unmask by February 28?$0.23Feb 20, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.35Feb 20, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.33Feb 20, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.05Feb 20, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.92Feb 20, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$1.00Feb 20, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.25Feb 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.00Feb 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.73Feb 11, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 17:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".