Shameless-Assembly
0xe0045ff9358b92112bbaf80c3e7345dabfffcce7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$630.74
Total PnL
$-767.28
Realised
$-9.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
3501 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$141.79
$2.47
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
713 shares @ 5.7¢·now 15.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$110.82
$70.43
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
4668 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$95.70
$5.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?
8510 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$80.85
$-17.37
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?
10399 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$57.19
$-30.44
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?
304 shares @ 6.2¢·now 9.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$29.94
$11.17
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?
420 shares @ 3.6¢·now 5.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$20.98
$5.96
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?
1366 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$17.07
$-11.51
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?
645 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$16.77
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
2140 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$11.77
$3.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?$19.98Jul 18, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$12.91Jul 18, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?$26.12Jul 18, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?$0.00Jul 15, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $110 in July?$4.34Jul 14, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 in July?$3.29Jul 14, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$11.85Jul 14, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?$12.65Jul 14, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?$7.76Jul 14, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?$8.32Jul 14, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?$23.23Jul 14, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$12.57Jul 14, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?$24.83Jul 12, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$14.75Jul 12, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?$14.05Jul 12, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in July?$11.55Jul 12, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $120 in July?$10.34Jul 12, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $110 in July?$13.38Jul 12, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 in July?$5.67Jul 12, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 13?$2.88Jul 11, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $16.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 23:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.