Treasured-Contagion
0xe015d56e02a0ef864a23df96c87c7b66241cff4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$130.00
Total PnL
$-29.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
130 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$130.00
$0.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 18?
660 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.64
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,600 and $4,700 on October 13?
611 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on November 8?
540 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Franco Colapinto win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?
529 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.55
- YES
Will Austin Eckroat win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
480 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on March 31?
322 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Solana reach $100 in March?
291 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?
264 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
240 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 in March?$2.86Mar 30, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$129.35Mar 29, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austin Eckroat win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$3.36Mar 25, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison be richest person on March 31?$1.30Mar 24, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$11.00Mar 14, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 18?$2.64Nov 17, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on November 8?$1.08Nov 6, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$109.01Oct 29, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$109.78Oct 24, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4,600 and $4,700 on October 13?$2.05Oct 13, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.44Oct 4, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?$1.75Sep 25, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on August 4?$0.35Aug 3, 12:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$108.12Jul 28, 12:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$35.78Jul 27, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$15.71Jul 27, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54.56Jul 27, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.96Jul 27, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $96.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 18:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".