0xe01d5bac34d789eb191c19454be127fa00b7788b
0xe01d5bac34d789eb191c19454be127fa00b7788b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-337.14
Realised
$-5.86
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on February 14?
421 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on February 14?
316 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on February 14?
313 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on February 14?
296 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-24.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on February 14?
257 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-33.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on February 14?
250 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 14?
193 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 14?
178 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-14.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 13?
166 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-35.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on February 14?
136 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-12.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on February 14?$67.76Feb 16, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on February 14?$5.00Feb 12, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 14?$0.72Feb 12, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 14?$1.26Feb 12, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on February 14?$4.31Feb 12, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on February 14?$5.00Feb 12, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on February 14?$5.00Feb 12, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on February 14?$5.00Feb 12, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 14?$2.69Feb 12, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on February 14?$2.71Feb 12, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on February 14?$2.78Feb 12, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on February 14?$2.79Feb 12, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 70°F or higher on February 14?$3.47Feb 12, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on February 14?$2.61Feb 12, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 14?$4.11Feb 12, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on February 14?$4.31Feb 12, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on February 14?$5.00Feb 12, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on February 14?$5.00Feb 12, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on February 14?$3.39Feb 12, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on February 14?$5.00Feb 12, 16:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 01:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.