Quiet-Presence
0xe022fc32a8e1c9315828c532e569ee1045ae4076
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$45.45
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-62.42
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.45
$25.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 9?
12123 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-307.99
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
6183 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-593.59
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 9?
3878 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-298.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
1644 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-50.73
- YES
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
1426 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-81.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
636 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-305.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
480 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-178.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 15-21?
387 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-40.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
379 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-59.73
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.97Jan 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$28.00Jan 10, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$21.27Jan 10, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$48.73Jan 10, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$80.00Jan 10, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$8.90Jan 10, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$37.41Jan 10, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.00Jan 10, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$8.90Jan 10, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$4.45Jan 10, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$8.90Jan 10, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.07Jan 10, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$50.16Jan 10, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$61.41Jan 10, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$54.67Jan 10, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$2.19Jan 10, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$42.54Jan 10, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$93.59Jan 10, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$25.83Jan 10, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$37.17Jan 10, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $49.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 16:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.