Fine-Peace-Seaplane
0xe0264b8e08c19e20b0d1a42a0a0ef47a059c866c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Xi" this week?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 23, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 21, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 19?$1.06May 19, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?$1.04May 19, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 19, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Xi" this week?$1.04May 18, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 18?$1.07May 18, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$0.00May 18, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.06May 18, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$2.08May 18, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.27May 18, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.04May 17, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00May 16, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00May 16, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.03May 16, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.04May 16, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.04May 16, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.06May 16, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.72May 16, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 07:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 09:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.