Definitive-Tachometer
0xe02ef35ec958cf460523712ad842b86a432fc5fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-63.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on March 17?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 2?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 3?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 9?
309 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?
275 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?
100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- VENOM
Counter-Strike: Venom vs illwill (BO3)
40 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-27.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$13.61Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$13.60Jul 17, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$92.18Jun 16, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$92.01Jun 14, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?$92.09Jun 4, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?$92.01Jun 3, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$66.07Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 2?$26.03Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$66.00Jun 1, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 2?$1.07Jun 1, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?$1.18Jun 1, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 2?$26.00Jun 1, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?$94.09May 27, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$1.00May 25, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$1.00May 25, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?$94.00May 24, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$40.04May 20, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$52.16May 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$40.00May 19, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$1.07May 19, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $53.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 13:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.