Monstrous-Uplift-Whirlwind
0xe03345b367a4b64407123ac828d3466128a28ff0
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$196.85
Total PnL
$-48.91
Realised
$-16.71
Win rate
46%
67 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 21?
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$5.25
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 20?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$5.00
$0.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 20?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$5.00
$0.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or higher on August 20?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$5.00
$0.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 20?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$5.00
$0.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 20?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$5.00
$2.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 20?
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$4.99
$1.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 20?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$4.99
$0.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$4.98
$0.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 20?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$4.84
$0.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 21?$3.65Aug 20, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 21?$2.50Aug 20, 13:53 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 21?$5.00Aug 20, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 21?$0.75Aug 20, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 21?$3.95Aug 20, 13:32 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 20?$5.00Aug 20, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 20?$0.06Aug 20, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 20?$2.97Aug 20, 13:01 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 21?$5.00Aug 20, 13:00 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 20?$5.00Aug 20, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 20?$2.90Aug 20, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 21?$1.60Aug 20, 12:55 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 20?$2.93Aug 20, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 20?$1.32Aug 20, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on August 21?$0.35Aug 20, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 21?$3.35Aug 20, 12:35 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on August 21?$5.00Aug 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on August 21?$0.35Aug 20, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 21?$4.30Aug 20, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 20?$5.00Aug 20, 12:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 67 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
67 closed markets, 46% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 10:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 14:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 67 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.