Cloudy-Injustice
0xe040ffe586e21cb49449e8daf19b1cdff87a824f
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.0K
Realised
$-195.60
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
3482 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-348.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
3482 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-348.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
3482 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-348.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
3482 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-348.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
3166 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-316.57
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
3056 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-305.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C or higher on July 25?
2962 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-269.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on July 25?
2962 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-269.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 25?
2962 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-269.24
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
2959 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-269.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$6.90Jul 29, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 29?$5.20Jul 29, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$3.41Jul 29, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 29?$4.87Jul 29, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$1.36Jul 29, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$4.30Jul 29, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$6.71Jul 29, 04:28 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026?$0.00Jul 29, 04:27 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026?$78.00Jul 29, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 29?$5.00Jul 29, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 29?$9.98Jul 29, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 29?$7.01Jul 29, 04:27 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Wellington on July 29?$0.00Jul 29, 04:26 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Wellington on July 29?$48.00Jul 29, 04:26 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 29?$50.00Jul 29, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 29?$6.32Jul 29, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 29?$8.51Jul 29, 04:25 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Guangzhou on July 29?$180.00Jul 29, 04:24 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 29?$0.00Jul 29, 04:24 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 29?$24.00Jul 29, 04:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 04:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 04:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.