0xe04102d977b6bdb1fa3cb2357bd1c8f176a99bdd
0xe04102d977b6bdb1fa3cb2357bd1c8f176a99bdd
Wallet digest
Activity score
27/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.80
Total PnL
$-413.32
Realised
$-202.52
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
1 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.00
$0.75
- RYBAKINA
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.77
$-0.23
- RAIDERS
Jaguars vs. Raiders
200000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
267 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.80
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
16 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
11 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
11 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
3 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.06
- MOCHIZUKI
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Mackenzie McDonald
3 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$0.05Jan 2, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$0.08Jan 2, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$0.12Jan 2, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.27Dec 14, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$0.00Dec 13, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$0.23Dec 7, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$0.09Dec 5, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$0.69Dec 4, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?$0.04Nov 16, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?$0.00Nov 15, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMHellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musetti$1.18Nov 8, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis (BO3)$1.25Nov 8, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gervonta Davis win by Points or Decision?$0.18Nov 8, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?$0.49Nov 8, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025$1.02Nov 8, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.05Nov 8, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.14Nov 8, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.14Nov 8, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.33Nov 8, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gervonta Davis win by Points or Decision?$0.00Nov 8, 00:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 07:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 00:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".